Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.032704 0.037871 0.043597 0.050417 0.058322 0.067201 0.077938
2026-01-11 0.024516 0.031254 0.039473 0.050245 0.064013 0.081046 0.103768
2026-01-18 0.019973 0.027403 0.037153 0.050906 0.069851 0.095104 0.131444
2026-01-25 0.017130 0.024959 0.035868 0.052213 0.076165 0.110111 0.162124
2026-02-01 0.014253 0.021863 0.033023 0.050634 0.077846 0.118503 0.184257
2026-02-08 0.012348 0.019827 0.031308 0.050280 0.081020 0.129166 0.210895
2026-02-15 0.010801 0.018078 0.029721 0.049786 0.083726 0.139221 0.237679
2026-02-22 0.009786 0.017020 0.029046 0.050594 0.088530 0.153085 0.272425
2026-03-01 0.008753 0.015776 0.027872 0.050345 0.091408 0.163932 0.303244
2026-03-08 0.007709 0.014364 0.026213 0.048984 0.092067 0.170854 0.327743
2026-03-15 0.006808 0.013089 0.024630 0.047527 0.092300 0.176925 0.351284
2026-03-22 0.006320 0.012523 0.024270 0.048309 0.096833 0.191521 0.393164
2026-03-29 0.005798 0.011838 0.023625 0.048493 0.100302 0.204651 0.434285
2026-04-05 0.005323 0.011188 0.022969 0.048573 0.103578 0.217824 0.477397
2026-04-12 0.004962 0.010725 0.022632 0.049263 0.108199 0.234314 0.529882
2026-04-19 0.004691 0.010419 0.022577 0.050538 0.114228 0.254521 0.593376
2026-04-26 0.004212 0.009597 0.021325 0.049013 0.113818 0.260524 0.625111
2026-05-03 0.003880 0.009063 0.020636 0.048671 0.116059 0.272749 0.673179
2026-05-10 0.003572 0.008548 0.019929 0.048193 0.117905 0.284260 0.721067
2026-05-17 0.003379 0.008280 0.019760 0.048975 0.122882 0.303813 0.791756
2026-05-24 0.003139 0.007869 0.019203 0.048734 0.125287 0.317367 0.848896
2026-05-31 0.002859 0.007325 0.018264 0.047417 0.124787 0.323570 0.887470
2026-06-07 0.002601 0.006808 0.017333 0.046007 0.123866 0.328575 0.923503